What are the four conditions that need to be satisfied for a binomial setting?

1 Answer
Jan 2, 2015

In a BInomial setting there are two possible outcomes per event.

The important conditions for using a binomial setting in the first place are:

  • There are only two possibilities, which we will call Good or Fail
  • The probability of the ratio between Good and Fail doesn't change during the tries
  • In other words: the outcome of one try does not
    influence the next

Example :
You roll dice (one at a time) and you want to know what the chances are that you roll at lest 1 six in 3 tries.
This is a typical example of binomial:

  • There are only two possibilities:
    6 (chance #=1/6#) or not-6 (chance #=5/6#)
  • The die has no memory, so:
  • Every next roll has still the same probabilities.

You can set up a chance-tree, but you can also calculate the chance of three Fails, which is

#5/6*5/6*5/6=125/216#

And your chance of succeeding would be

#1-125/216=91/216#