On Monday a park event has 150 visitors. On Tuesday it has 260 visitors. Using this rate of increase estimate the count of visitors for Wednesday?

2 Answers
Nov 14, 2017

Monday to Tuesday's increase is #73 1/3%# #larrul("Not an estimate")#
Count for Wednesday is #450 2/3# # larrul("Not an estimate")#

#color(brown)("See the other answer for an estimated solution")#

Explanation:

#color(blue)("Part 1")#

change for Monday to Tuesday is expressed as a fraction of the original count and is:

#(260-150)/150 = 110/150#

To change this into a percentage the bottom number (denominator) need to become 100.

Multiply by 1 and you do not change the value. However, 1 comes in many forms.

#color(green)((110)/(150)color(red)(xx1))#

#color(green)((110)/(150)color(red)(xx(color(white)("d")2/3color(white)("d"))/(2/3)))color(white)("d")=color(white)("d")(73 1/3)/100 rarr 73 1/3%#

The above is an exact value not as an estimate as stated in the question.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
#color(blue)("Part 2")#

Tuesday's count is given as 260

So the same increase proportion for Tuesday to Wednesday is

#73 1/3%# of 260

#(73 1/3)/100xx260 #

But this is the same as

#73 1/3xx1/100 xx 260#

#73 1/3xx(26cancel(0))/(10cancel(0))#

#(cancel(220)^22)/3xx26/cancel(10)^1 = 190 2/3#

So the total coming through the door on Wednesday is

#260+190 2/3 = 450 2/3#

Call it 451

Nov 14, 2017

#color(brown)("The estimated solution")#
The problem about 'ESTIMATES' is that unless defined you do not know the degree of precision required.

#color(brown)("Only answered the first part")#

Explanation:

#color(blue)("ESTIMATING the percentage change Monday to Tuesday")#

#260 - 150 = 110# round this to 100 giving

#100/150#

Known that #2/3xx150=100#

#(2/3xx100)/(2/3xx150)#

#(2/3xx100)xx1/100 ->(2/3xx100)%#

estimate #1/3# of #100# as 30 so #2/3# would be 60 giving

So the ESTIMATED percentage change is #60%#
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
#color(brown)("Lets see what the error is on this")#

The exact solution is #73 1/3%#

So the degree of error is

#(73 1/3-60)/60 -> 22.222...%" error"#