A telephone company claims that directory assistance will give you the right number 95% of the time you make calls. If you make 10 calls, what would be the probability of getting the right number all 10 times?

1 Answer
Feb 12, 2016

0.95^10 ~~ 0.60.95100.6

Explanation:

Assuming that the probability associated with each of the 1010 calls is independent, the probability of all 1010 numbers being right is:

0.95^10 = 0.59873693923837890625 ~~ 0.60.9510=0.598736939238378906250.6

Rather than calculate this exactly, you can use the binomial theorem to give an approximation:

0.95^10 = (1 - 0.05)^100.9510=(10.05)10

= ((10),(0))1 - ((10),(1))0.05 + ((10),(2))0.05^2 -...

~~1 - 10*0.05 + 45*0.0025

= 1 - 0.5 + 0.1125 = 0.6125 ~~ 0.6