Let the random variable X denote the number of girls in a five-child family. If the probability of a female birth is 0.5, what are the probabilities of having 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 girls?

1 Answer

See below:

Explanation:

The probability of having a girl is given as #0.5#. This means that the probability of not having a girl is also #0.5#.

The last thing to look at is the number of ways we can achieve any given result. For instance, there is only 1 way to have 0 girls (and the same goes for 5 girls), but there are 5 different ways we can have 1 girl (and the same goes for 4 girls). This is a combinations question, with:

#C_(n,k)=((n),(k))=(n!)/((k!)(n-k)!)# with #n="population", k="picks"#

Boiling it all down, we end up with:

0 girls #=((5),(0))(1/2)^0(1/2)^5=1xx1xx1/32=1/32#

1 girl #=((5),(1))(1/2)^1(1/2)^4=5xx1/2xx1/16=5/32#

2 girls #=((5),(2))(1/2)^2(1/2)^3=10xx1/4xx1/8=10/32=5/16#

3 girls #=((5),(3))(1/2)^3(1/2)^2=10xx1/8xx1/4=10/32=5/16#

4 girls #=((5),(4))(1/2)^4(1/2)^1=5xx1/16xx1/2=5/32#

5 girls #=((5),(5))(1/2)^5(1/2)^0=1xx1/32xx1=1/32#

Notice that if we add all of these up, we get 1 (or the sum total of all probabilities):

#1/32+5/32+10/32+10/32+5/32+1/32=32/32=1#