Question #7d4be

1 Answer
Aug 8, 2016

#.5795#

Explanation:

Let #B# be the event of raining and #A# be the event that the theater is full

we are asked for #p(A)#, the probability of the theater being full.
we are given the following
#p(A|B) = .8# The probability of being full given it rains
#p(A|notB) = .45# The probability of being full given it does not rain aka sunny day
#p(B) = .37# The probability of raining

Based on the law of total probability we know that
#p(A) = p(A,B)+p(A,notB) = #
#p(A|B)p(B)+p(A|notB)p(notB)#

now we just plug in
#p(A) =.8*.37+.45*.63= .5795#