Suppose that you take a 20 question multiple-choice quiz by guessing. Each question has exactly one correct answer of the four alternatives given. What is the probability of getting all 20 questions incorrectly?

1 Answer

All wrong: (3/4)^20~=.0032=0.32%.

All right:
(1/4)^20~=9.1xx10^(-13)=0.00000000000091%.

Explanation:

For each question, there are 3 incorrect answers and 1 correct answer. Each question is a separate event and so we multiply the probabilities.

All answers wrong

That's 3/4xx3/4xx3/4xx...3/4 twenty times, so we can express it as:

(3/4)^20~=.0032=0.32%.

All answers right

(1/4)^20~=9.1xx10^(-13)=0.00000000000091%.